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Recent articles
  • Short analysis of capital markets

    Fiala Petr, 21.9.2020 09:52, Capital markets
    ETF QQQ has fallen from maxims minus 12% in the last three weeks, SPY by -7.8%. Under normal circumstances, it would be a more significant correction; now, I feel that not much is talked about, probably because it's nothing compared to previous growth. Since March, QQQ is still + 61.8%. So what's next?
  • Smart index and its predictive ability

    Fiala Petr, 19.2.2020 08:57, Capital markets
    Creating algorithmic models is not just about applying mathematical-statistical methods to data. Using mathematics, an analyst might find high correlations where they are not. Common sense must be involved. How to determine, for example, that the market is in danger of some significant correction? Here is the question I asked myself in this context already in 2013: Is there a stock index that reliably predicts significant future declines? You can find the answer in an article I posted below.
  • A short market analysis as of 26.1.2020

    Fiala Petr, 27.1.2020 08:10, Capital markets
    I have another brief analysis of the capital markets. I will only focus on the most significant development.
  • Short analysis of capital markets as of 28.12.2019

    Fiala Petr, 28.12.2019 11:55, Capital markets
    I have prepared several charts that I find interesting.
  • What to expect from stock prices this summer

    Fiala Petr, 14.7.2014 05:24, Capital markets
    I have prepared a few charts that might be helpfull in understanding of current conditions on markets.
  • Analysis of Capital Markets for June 26, 2014

    Fiala Petr, 26.6.2014 06:33, Capital markets
    Stock indices have refused to go down despite all the negative news regarding GDP print of -2.9% for 1Q/2014. Current euphoria must be really strong if there is almost no reaction to such a negative message about the state of the economy. Here is my view on the situation.
  • Performance Of Our Automated Trading Models

    Fiala Petr, 24.6.2014 19:43, Strategy
    I have calculated results of our trading and investing models for U.S. stocks and ETFs. We have three main models. 6S model is suitable for long-term investors, swing models are suitable for more aggressive traders. One model uses as trading vehicle leveraged ETFs, second one trades U.S stocks that went through our absolute strenght filter 6S.
  • What drives the price of gold

    Fiala Petr, 20.6.2014 11:21, Capital markets
    What are the key factors influencing the price of gold? There are a lot of various opinios from very respected authors on the internet. So here is my opinion.
  • Is this the right time to invest in mining stocks?

    Fiala Petr, 19.6.2014 05:09, Capital markets
    Today I have analysed stocks in the mining sector, as I see clear accumulation of gold and silver shares during the last few days. I looked also at seasonal charts and positions of traders ( COT reports) to find out what is the probability that this sector is bottoming. Here are the results.
  • Sentiment of Banks Part 2

    Fiala Petr, 4.6.2014 17:11, Sentiment Analysis
    I have prepared another three charts on the theme of the FED open market operations and how they influence asset prices.
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